All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Arabian Roundup |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Mason Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/14 |
8/24 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/20 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
436 | |
419 |
395 |
470 |
387 |
408 |
393 |
422 |
417 |
456 |
1,045 |
558 |
466 |
463 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
419 |
395 |
470 |
387 |
408 |
393 |
422 |
417 |
456 |
436 |
558 |
466 |
463 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Arabian Roundup |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Mason Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hancock County |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conference |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 15 |
Tristan Trevino |
12 |
15:44 |
16:20 |
16:00 |
15:54 |
16:18 |
16:04 |
15:57 |
15:47 |
16:10 |
16:09 |
16:14 |
|
16:02 |
15:45 |
15:36 |
15:58 |
| 179 |
Ahmed Saleh |
10 |
16:58 |
17:30 |
16:46 |
16:50 |
17:05 |
16:53 |
16:49 |
17:03 |
16:41 |
16:48 |
17:01 |
|
17:34 |
17:05 |
16:59 |
|
| 281 |
Colin Strachman |
11 |
17:15 |
16:51 |
17:16 |
17:22 |
17:11 |
17:01 |
17:01 |
16:59 |
17:41 |
17:13 |
17:23 |
|
17:38 |
17:08 |
17:23 |
|
| 400 |
Landon Willis |
10 |
17:32 |
17:14 |
17:46 |
17:22 |
17:36 |
17:24 |
17:39 |
17:20 |
17:29 |
17:21 |
17:26 |
|
17:47 |
17:26 |
17:56 |
|
| 444 |
Austin Baugh |
9 |
17:38 |
|
17:49 |
17:10 |
17:37 |
17:33 |
18:07 |
17:29 |
17:07 |
17:31 |
17:46 |
|
17:49 |
18:17 |
17:29 |
|
| 483 |
Isaiah Njau |
11 |
17:42 |
|
17:46 |
17:27 |
17:49 |
17:18 |
17:25 |
17:28 |
17:54 |
17:37 |
17:31 |
|
18:30 |
18:05 |
17:57 |
|
| 486 |
Xaiden Jenson |
10 |
17:42 |
17:52 |
17:26 |
17:26 |
17:40 |
17:40 |
17:47 |
17:35 |
17:37 |
17:33 |
17:39 |
|
17:47 |
18:30 |
17:55 |
|
| 783 |
Jackson Dayhoff |
11 |
18:11 |
|
18:19 |
18:12 |
17:40 |
17:35 |
17:45 |
18:38 |
18:21 |
|
18:06 |
19:22 |
|
|
|
|
| 843 |
Andres Langston |
11 |
18:17 |
|
19:01 |
18:16 |
18:08 |
18:19 |
18:11 |
18:08 |
18:03 |
18:42 |
18:09 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 911 |
Brayden Strantz |
10 |
18:22 |
18:48 |
18:12 |
18:37 |
18:14 |
18:35 |
|
17:57 |
18:35 |
|
18:07 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 943 |
Caden Cassada |
9 |
18:24 |
|
17:34 |
19:48 |
|
18:20 |
|
18:08 |
18:17 |
|
18:56 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,108 |
Cooper Huntziker |
9 |
18:37 |
|
18:35 |
18:21 |
18:47 |
18:35 |
|
18:33 |
18:43 |
18:22 |
18:40 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,137 |
Daylon King |
12 |
18:39 |
|
18:41 |
18:18 |
18:30 |
18:33 |
18:16 |
19:05 |
19:18 |
|
18:35 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,397 |
Matthew Cousar |
10 |
18:59 |
|
19:33 |
18:26 |
18:43 |
18:31 |
|
18:52 |
19:00 |
|
19:38 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jayden Fairrow |
9 |
19:00 |
|
|
19:26 |
19:28 |
19:18 |
|
|
18:51 |
|
18:41 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.1% |
13.8 |
375 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.0 |
307 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
3.7 |
8.7 |
17.9 |
34.4 |
20.6 |
9.7 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
68 |
0.4 |
24.0 |
75.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.8 |
66 |
0.4 |
20.7 |
78.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
99.9% |
14.5 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
| Ahmed Saleh |
0.2% |
96.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Colin Strachman |
0.1% |
118.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Landon Willis |
0.1% |
150.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Austin Baugh |
0.1% |
159.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Isaiah Njau |
0.1% |
169.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Xaiden Jenson |
0.1% |
164.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
100% |
8.6 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.0 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Ahmed Saleh |
100% |
70.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Colin Strachman |
100% |
89.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Landon Willis |
100% |
109.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Austin Baugh |
100% |
116.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Isaiah Njau |
100% |
122.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.1% |
| Xaiden Jenson |
100% |
122.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
100% |
1.1 |
44.2 |
51.1 |
3.9 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ahmed Saleh |
100% |
10.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
6.6 |
11.9 |
13.2 |
12.1 |
10.9 |
9.9 |
8.3 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
4.9 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Colin Strachman |
100% |
15.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
8.1 |
10.0 |
12.9 |
16.1 |
11.6 |
8.0 |
4.9 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Landon Willis |
100% |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
9.4 |
9.2 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Austin Baugh |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
3.4 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
9.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaiah Njau |
100% |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.8 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Xaiden Jenson |
100% |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tristan Trevino |
1.1 |
45.1 |
50.3 |
3.8 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ahmed Saleh |
9.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
8.3 |
16.0 |
14.0 |
12.8 |
11.0 |
9.7 |
8.0 |
7.8 |
5.6 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Colin Strachman |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
3.8 |
5.3 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
10.7 |
14.8 |
21.0 |
11.8 |
6.8 |
3.7 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Landon Willis |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
6.0 |
12.4 |
14.3 |
14.2 |
13.3 |
11.1 |
10.1 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
| Austin Baugh |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
5.3 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
12.1 |
13.0 |
13.8 |
12.9 |
10.3 |
7.1 |
| Isaiah Njau |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
10.6 |
12.8 |
16.0 |
16.4 |
15.4 |
| Xaiden Jenson |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
3.9 |
5.7 |
7.8 |
10.9 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
16.5 |
15.5 |
|
